Stick Trade Blog

Wood Fiber Prices up in the South, ...

Posted April 23rd, 2010

Wood fiber costs rose in the US South and in the Lake States during the 1Q because of
improved pulp markets and a tight wood fiber supply. In Northwestern US, the picture
was different, with reduced production of pulp and paper resulting in declining fiber
consumption and lower prices for both wood chips and pulplogs, according to the
North American Wood Fiber Review.

Seattle, USA. April 2010. The balance between wood fiber demand and supply varied
throughout the US in the 1Q/10, reported the North American Wood Fiber Review. The
fiber market in the South has become much tighter as a consequence of high fiber
demand coupled with historically low sawmill residual supply. Many pulpmills
producing market pulp have been running close to full capacity through the first months
of the year because they wanted to take advantage of record-high prices for both NBSK
and HBKP market pulp.

The South experienced an unusually wet first quarter, resulting in access to the forests
being extremely difficult. Many logging companies were forced to search further away
from consuming mills for harvestable areas. There were even shipments of Eucalyptus
chips from Brazil coming into the region as a supplement to the domestic hardwood fiber
sources. As a result of the improved pulp markets and difficult logging conditions, fiber
prices have risen dramatically, particularly in the South Central states where softwood
fiber prices were up 12% from a year ago and hardwood fiber prices up 16% from the
1Q/09.

For over five years, pulp mills in the U.S. South have had lower wood fiber costs than
most plants in the other major pulp-producing region the US, the Northwest. This
condition changed in the 1Q/10 when wood costs in the South Central region were
practically the same as in the Northwest, and it is even conceivable that pulp mills in the
West may have lower wood fiber costs than plants in the South later this year.

The closure of two large pulp mills in Oregon and Montana is expected to reduce the
demand for wood fiber by almost 15% in the Northwest. As a result of the closures, a
number of pulp mills will be less reliant on chips manufactured from roundwood in the
future and will consume a larger share of less expensive residual chips. The weighted
average Douglas-fir fiber prices for the Northwest fell nine percent in the first quarter,
according to the North American Wood Fiber Review. Wood fiber costs have trended
downward for almost two years and are currently almost 40% lower than in 2008.

In the Lake States, softwood prices were moving up in the 1Q, while hardwood prices
have stayed flat the past 12 months. Pulp mills in the region have passed through the
winter season with stable supply and no dramatic changes in fiber demand. Softwood
fiber prices, which have generally been more volatile than hardwood prices, have gone up
the past year and are currently the highest in the US.

Wood Resources International LLC

www.woodprices.com

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